27 November 2019 – Thanksgiving, bulls push indices to new highs
Indices Dow Transportation closed at 10947.55 with a small spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range is 86.09. Fractal Chaos Band – closed on its FCB upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 57.8.
Dow Industrial closed at 28164.0 with a small doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 99.74. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 71.9.
Russell 2000 closed at 1634.104 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 10.543. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 71.3.
Nasdaq 100 closed at 8444.7089 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 59.86. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 74.
S&P 500(SPX) closed at 3153.632 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 13.74. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 75.6.
Metals and Commodities WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $58.14 per barrel with a spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.17. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong upTrend. Momentum – Strong Upwards. RSI – 55.7.
Gold (/GC) closed at 1461 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 10. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling slope. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising slope. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising slope. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 42.4.
Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 15.62 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.13. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 55.4.
Bonds Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 159’10 with a bearish candle on its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, above its 200 SMA and below its 50 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.813. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Neutral. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 49.6.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 87.13 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.2. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 58.
Currency The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 98.251 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.148. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 56.6.
EUR/USD closed at 1.0998 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.0032. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 41.5.
USD/JPY closed at 109.53 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.644. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 62.7.
Relative Strength – Sectors On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are SPY, XLK, SPX, XLF, XLV, XLI, /ES, XLP, XLB, XLY, XLE and XLU.
On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are SPY, XLK, SPX, XLF, XLP, XLV, XLI, /ES, XLB, XLY, XLU and XLE.
Market Internals Market Sentiment – Very Bullish. Market Breadth – sloping upward showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upwards and showing accumulation. Skew – 130.37. Vix – 11.75 and Vix Futures – 14.05.
The Week Ahead Market Internals are showing strength. Skew is normal. Vix is below 12 and Vix Futures is below 15. Indices are in overbought conditions in the daily charts. Market sentiment is overly bullish which typically is a signal of excesses. The prognosis is that the market is rather vulnerable to pullbacks.
To Your Wealth! Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.
27 November 2019 – Thanksgiving, bulls push indices to new highs
Indices
Dow Transportation closed at 10947.55 with a small spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range is 86.09. Fractal Chaos Band – closed on its FCB upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 57.8.
Dow Industrial closed at 28164.0 with a small doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 99.74. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 71.9.
Russell 2000 closed at 1634.104 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 10.543. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 71.3.
Nasdaq 100 closed at 8444.7089 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 59.86. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 74.
S&P 500 (SPX) closed at 3153.632 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 13.74. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 75.6.
Metals and Commodities
WTI Crude oil futures (CL) closed at $58.14 per barrel with a spinning top doji candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 1.17. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong upTrend. Momentum – Strong Upwards. RSI – 55.7.
Gold (/GC) closed at 1461 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and above its 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 10. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling slope. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and rising slope. Short Cycle Wave – negative and rising slope. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Weak Downward. RSI – 42.4.
Commodities (DBC) ETF closed at 15.62 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.13. Fractal Chaos Band – closed below its FCB upperband. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 55.4.
Bonds
Bond futures (/ZB) closed at 159’10 with a bearish candle on its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, above its 200 SMA and below its 50 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.813. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Short Cycle Wave – positive and falling. Market direction – Neutral. Momentum – Neutral. RSI – 49.6.
High Yield bond ETF (HYG) closed at 87.13 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.2. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 58.
Currency
The dollar index ($DXY) closed at 98.251 with a bearish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.148. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 56.6.
EUR/USD closed at 1.0998 with a bearish candle below its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.0032. Fractal Chaos Band – closed within its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Medium Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Short Cycle Wave – negative and falling. Market direction – Strong DownTrend. Momentum – Strong Downward. RSI – 41.5.
USD/JPY closed at 109.53 with a bullish candle above its 8 EMA, 21 EMA, 50 SMA and 200 SMA. Daily trading range – 0.644. Fractal Chaos Band – closed above its FCB. Long Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Medium Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Short Cycle Wave – positive and rising. Market direction – Strong UpTrend. Momentum – Strong Upward. RSI – 62.7.
Relative Strength – Sectors On a 3-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P ETF 500 sectors are SPY, XLK, SPX, XLF, XLV, XLI, /ES, XLP, XLB, XLY, XLE and XLU.
On a 12-monthly lookback, the relative strength order of the S&P 500 ETFs are SPY, XLK, SPX, XLF, XLP, XLV, XLI, /ES, XLB, XLY, XLU and XLE.
Market Internals
Market Sentiment – Very Bullish. Market Breadth – sloping upward showing more gainers than losers. Volume Acc/Dis – sloping upwards and showing accumulation. Skew – 130.37. Vix – 11.75 and Vix Futures – 14.05.
The Week Ahead
Market Internals are showing strength. Skew is normal. Vix is below 12 and Vix Futures is below 15. Indices are in overbought conditions in the daily charts. Market sentiment is overly bullish which typically is a signal of excesses. The prognosis is that the market is rather vulnerable to pullbacks.
To Your Wealth!
Would you like to learn to trade stocks, Options or Futures? Drop us an email at jefftohch@gmail.com or call +6010 4343 948. If you have been an unsuccessful trader and need personal tutorship, we can provide you with personal coaching to take you to be a profitable trader.
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